Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 2.345832 2.677425 3.039525 3.464372 3.949329 4.485823 5.124641
2025-08-24 1.848659 2.301999 2.841642 3.531773 4.391744 5.429229 6.777902
2025-08-31 1.570988 2.076713 2.715426 3.582145 4.729410 6.198734 8.228254
2025-09-07 1.351717 1.876340 2.571789 3.562469 4.940414 6.793905 9.485033
2025-09-14 1.171542 1.696453 2.422055 3.500123 5.065435 7.262534 10.593938
2025-09-21 1.038117 1.561180 2.311841 3.470005 5.217641 7.766154 11.783910
2025-09-28 0.923004 1.436729 2.199612 3.417839 5.321898 8.197116 12.894364
2025-10-05 0.896215 1.440782 2.275762 3.652847 5.877398 9.348433 15.212207
2025-10-12 0.826925 1.369756 2.227134 3.684148 6.111034 10.014789 16.818218
2025-10-19 0.786895 1.340863 2.240745 3.813988 6.511666 10.978031 18.995507
2025-10-26 0.722457 1.264261 2.167931 3.790551 6.650017 11.514717 20.494110
2025-11-02 0.666812 1.196849 2.103416 3.773225 6.793628 12.067213 22.064093
2025-11-09 0.604526 1.115934 2.015343 3.719382 6.892135 12.593469 23.725527
2025-11-16 0.566899 1.076475 1.998164 3.794807 7.239004 13.610513 26.428294
2025-11-23 0.530539 1.034936 1.971986 3.848834 7.548376 14.584744 29.150006
2025-11-30 0.488613 0.977974 1.910603 3.827683 7.708470 15.287989 31.412295
2025-12-07 0.445962 0.914879 1.830692 3.760644 7.768604 15.798490 33.335573
2025-12-14 0.411703 0.864972 1.771434 3.728260 7.893851 16.448107 35.612401
2025-12-21 0.378553 0.813821 1.704395 3.672168 7.962387 16.985213 37.703353
2025-12-28 0.377748 0.830937 1.779561 3.924866 8.715198 19.032891 43.315365
2026-01-04 0.356895 0.802377 1.755307 3.958523 8.991296 20.080089 46.797489
2026-01-11 0.346543 0.795949 1.777935 4.098143 9.517818 21.728402 51.835838
2026-01-18 0.323898 0.759334 1.730373 4.072940 9.663239 22.530579 54.968344